If Gachagua Were Forced to Write Ruto a Birthday Message Today, It Would Likely Be the Inverse of His 2022 Tribute

If former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua were compelled to compose a birthday message for President William Ruto today, many Kenyans believe it would read like the complete opposite of the glowing tribute he wrote in 2022 — a message that has resurfaced on social media and sparked renewed political debate.
The resurfacing of Gachagua’s past words has reignited conversations about shifting loyalties, broken alliances, and the volatile nature of Kenyan politics, where yesterday’s praise can quickly become today’s silence.
A Look Back at the 2022 Birthday Tribute
2022, Gachagua’s birthday message to Ruto was filled with admiration and unwavering loyalty. He portrayed Ruto as a resilient, God-fearing leader who had endured years of political persecution yet remained focused on uplifting ordinary Kenyans. The message painted Ruto as a visionary destined to lead the country with humility, integrity, and purpose.
At the time, the two were at the height of their political partnership, riding the momentum of the Kenya Kwanza alliance and preparing for a historic election victory. Gachagua positioned himself not just as a deputy, but as one of Ruto’s most vocal defenders and trusted allies.
Those words, now circulating widely online, reflect a political relationship that once appeared solid and unbreakable.
From Political Brotherhood to Public Fallout
Fast forward to today, and the political landscape has shifted dramatically.
Gachagua’s relationship with President Ruto has visibly deteriorated, marked by public tension, strategic distancing, and increasingly pointed remarks. The former deputy has accused the current administration of sidelining him and marginalising the Mt Kenya region, claims that have deepened the rift between the once-close allies.
What was once praise for leadership and unity has been replaced by allegations of betrayal, exclusion from decision-making, and the abandonment of key campaign promises. The contrast between the warmth of the 2022 message and the current political coldness has not been lost on the public
“Inverse Message” Theory
As President Ruto marks his birthday, netizens have jokingly speculated about what an “inverse” birthday message from Gachagua might look like today. Social media users suggest it would be stripped of praise, heavy on restraint, and possibly loaded with subtle irony — if written at all.
Some argue that silence itself would be more telling than words, while others believe any message would be carefully crafted to avoid outright confrontation while still signaling distance.The speculation underscores how political messaging often mirrors power dynamics, alliances, and unresolved grievances.
Social Media Reactions and Public Discourse
Screenshots of the 2022 birthday message have flooded timelines, with Kenyans using them to illustrate how fast political friendships can unravel. Supporters and critics alike have weighed in, debating whether Gachagua’s earlier praise was genuine or purely strategic.
Others see the resurfacing of the message as a lesson in political realism, where loyalty is often temporary and shaped by shifting interests rather than personal bonds.
A Broader Reflection on Kenyan Politics
The contrast between Gachagua’s past tribute and the present reality serves as a broader reflection of Kenya’s political culture. Alliances are built, celebrated, and dismantled in rapid succession, often leaving behind public records that tell stories leaders would rather forget.
In this case, the 2022 message now stands as a political time capsule — a reminder of a moment when unity appeared strong and the future seemed shared.Whether Rigathi Gachagua chooses to acknowledge President Ruto’s birthday or remain silent, the resurfaced tribute has already spoken volumes. It highlights not just the breakdown of a political relationship, but the unpredictable nature of power, loyalty, and ambition in Kenyan politics.
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